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Hindi The holistic truth about global warming
Gustav R Grob
Founder of the International University of Sustainable Life, Geneva
: Expert Opin Environ Biol
Abstract
Among the hundreds of scientists around the world, the majority agree that anthropogenic global warming is happening, evidenced by precise temperature and sea level measurements, but in the public, politics and the media mainly the increasing CO2 emissions are blamed, including the COP21 Paris agreements, while in fact other greenhouse gases like CH4 and NOx emissions from combustion play also an important role, besides the variations of the humidity in the atmosphere and rising ambient temperatures from technical systems are also influencing the weather and climate cycles. However, despite all the modeling with all or some of these variables, the most dramatic reason of climate change are the natural cycles since thousands of years, influenced by regular sun activities and other exceptional phenomena like volcanic eruptions and meteorite impacts as illustrated in the histogram on the left. In order to get the complete picture of global warming and cooling, all these natural and anthropogenic phenomena have to be combined holistically in a long-term histogram, whereby we actually are in a cumulative uptrend, but one day a downtrend will start inevitably again, as shown above, whereby anthropogenic emission may be the welcome to slow that cooling cycle within future generations. The challenge to atmosphere scientists is to predict the timing of future natural cycles, explain the reasons for the variations and estimate the superimposed effects of greenhouse gases. If someone calls these facts a “hoax” he proves his inability of holistic thinking. However scientists, including WMO, IPCC and UNFCCC have to perform a better job by telling the truth of the matter and communicate also with the health and environmental organizations UNEP and WHO about the real damages of pollution, but also show with FAO the positive effects of CO2 on agriculture and forestry for feeding the growing world population !
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