Journal of Food and Nutritional DisordersISSN: 2324-9323

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Research Article, J Food Nutr Disor Vol: 3 Issue: 3

Forecasting Wheat Production Gaps to Assess the State of Future Food Security in Pakistan

Farhad Zulfiqar1 and Abid Hussain2*
1Regional and Rural Development Planning, School of Environment, Resources and Development, Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand
2Food Security Economist, International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu, Nepal
Corresponding author : Abid Hussain
Food Security Economist, International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD), Kathmandu, Nepal,
E-mail: [email protected]
Received: February 10, 2014 Accepted: June 15, 2014 Published: June 21, 2014
Citation: Zulfiqar F, Hussain A (2014) Forecasting Wheat Production Gaps to Assess the State of Future Food Security in Pakistan. J Food Nutr Disor 3:3. doi:10.4172/2324-9323.1000146

Abstract

Forecasting Wheat Production Gaps to Assess the State of Future Food Security in Pakistan

Providing production forecasts of main food commodities to food security planners may lead to improved production planning decisions in any country or region. Cognizant of this fact, this study forecasts the future wheat production gaps (PG) in Pakistan for 13 years (2013-2025) at two different levels of consumption, i.e. 125 kg/capita/annum and 150 kg/capita/annum.

Keywords: Wheat production; Forecasts; ARIMA; Production gap; Planning decisions; Food security; Pakistan

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